worked at the GM safety research and development lab (proving grounds,
Milford MI) in 1968. I thought Bob Lutz then was too focused on the
next 15 years and I have the same feelings about this projection now.
We are going to have a serious decline in energy deliveries (maybe more
than 90%) this century. If we really want all the services that modern
technology can provide we are looking at city living no suburbs or
country homes. Tall apartment buildings with multiple basement levels
filled various transportation tubes filled with electric transport for
people, products, and waste, There will be no surface transport at all.
All domestic, commercial, industrial, recreational, and waste
transport will be through these tubes. There will be no regular vehicles
on the surface larger than bikes or the occasional construction crane
using bike lanes in the middle of the night. His view of autonomous
surface vehicles results from what today's thinkers have concluded
given their extrapolation of today's transport problems -- clogged roads
and few parking spaces. But this view is like Lutz's 1968 muscle car
visions of making passing easier on two lane roads which went away and
nullified the need for 8 MPG 400 horsepower cars. In my view of a
sustainable high end lifestyle for people on earth circa 2100, all
surface transport (autonomous surface cars too) will go away and be
replaced with multilevel underground electric transport connecting all
the possible destinations at all the levels of service.
Jack Alpert PhD Director: Stanford Knowledge Integration Laboratory http://www.skil.org (C) 913 708 2554 alpert@... skype: SKILdog 13617 W. 48th Street Shawnee, KS 66216